Political Science 794: Methodology Seminar

Winter 2018
Tuesday 3-6 (2333 MH)
Professor: Walter R. Mebane, Jr.
Office: 7735 Haven Hall (607/592-0546); email wmebane@umich.edu
Office hours: Tue 12-2 or other times by appointment.
Course web page: http://www.umich.edu/~wmebane/ps794.html

Assignment Due Dates
due date description weight
TBA participation 20%
April 3, 10, 17 presentation 10%
April 24 course paper 70%

Class meeting and reading schedule ($\bullet$ required)

  1. past glories (January 9)

  2. choice models (January 16)

    Bierlaire, M. 2003. BIOGEME: A free package for the estimation of discrete choice models, Proceedings of the 3rd Swiss Transportation Research Conference, Ascona, Switzerland. http://biogeme.epfl.ch/

    John E. Jackson, Bogdan W. Mach and Radoslaw Markowski. 2010. ``Party Strategies and Electoral Competition in Post-Communist Countries: Evidence from Poland.'' Electoral Studies 29 (2): 199-209. (in file jackson.mach.markowski.elecstud2010.pdf)

    John E. Jackson, Bogdan W. Mach and Radoslaw Markowski. 2010. ``Party Strategies and Electoral Competition in Post-Communist Countries: Evidence from Poland. Appendix A: Methodological Appendix.'' (in file jelsmethapp.docx)

    Walter R. Mebane, Jr., John E. Jackson and Jonathan Wall. 2015. ``Choice Function Heterogeneities in Models of Electoral Behavior.'' Working paper (in file mw14.pdf).

  3. identification, partial identification and misspecification (January 23)

    Roger Bowden. 1973. The Theory of Parametric Identification. Econometrica 41 (Nov): 1069-1074.

    Franklin Fisher. 1976. The Identification Problem in Econometrics. Krieger.

    Roger Bowden and Darrell Turlington. 1984. Instrumental Variables. Cambridge UP.

    Judea Pearl. 2009. Causality: Models, Reasoning and Inference, 2d ed. Cambridge UP. Chapters 1-5.

    Charles F. Manski. 1995. Identification in the Social Sciences. Harvard UP.

    Charles F. Manski. 2003. Partial Identification of Probability Distributions. Springer.

    Jeremy T. Fox. 2007. Semiparametric Estimation of Multinomial Discrete-Choice Models Using a Subset of Choices. The RAND Journal of Economics 38 (4, Winter): 1002-1019.

    Beresteanu, Arie and Francesca Molinari. 2008. Asymptotic Properties for a Class of Partially Identified Models. Econometrica 76(4): 763-814.

    Rosa L. Matzkin. 2007. Nonparametric Identification. In James J. Heckman and Edward E. Leamer, eds., Handbook of Econometrics volume 6B. North-Holland. Pp. 5307-5368.

    Donald W.K. Andrews, Marcelo J. Moreira, James H. Stock. 2007. Performance of conditional Wald tests in IV regression with weak instruments. Journal of Econometrics 139 (1, July): 116-132.

    Donald Andrews and James Stock. 2005. Inference with Weak Instruments.

    Jinyong Hahn, John Ham, and Hyungsik Rorger Moon. 2011. The Hausman Test and Weak Instruments. Journal of Econometrics 160 (2, February): 289-299.

  4. measurement 1 (January 30)

    Karl G. Jöreskog. 1977. ``Structural Equation Models in the Social Sciences: Specification, Estimation and Testing.'' In P.R. Krishnaiah, Applications of Statistics. North Holland.

    Daniel L. Oberski, Jeroen K. Vermunt and Guy B. D. Moors. 2015. Political Analysis 23: 550-563. (in file evaluating_measurement_invariance_in_categorical_.pdf)

    Sebastián M. Saiegh. 2015. ``Using Joint Scaling Methods to Study Ideology and Representation: Evidence from Latin America.'' Political Analysis 18: 363-384. (in file using_joint_scaling_methods_to_study_ideology_.pdf)

  5. measurement 2 (February 6)

    Nicole Asmussen and Jinhee Jo. 2016. ``Anchors Away: A New Approach for Estimating Ideal Points Comparable across Time and Chambers.'' Political Analysis 24: 172-188. (in file anchors_away_a_new_approach_.pdf)

    Thomas Bräuninger, Jochen Müller and Christian Stecker. 2016. ``Modeling Preferences Using Roll Call Votes in Parliamentary Systems.'' Political Analysis 24: 189-210. (in file modeling_preferences_using_roll_call_votes_in_parliamentary_systems.pdf)

    Adam Bonica and Maya Sen. 2017. ``A Common-Space Scaling of the American Judiciary and Legal Profession.'' Political Analysis 25: 114-121. (in file

    Simon Jackman and Shawn Treier. 2008. Democracy as a Latent Variable. American Journal of Political Science 52 (1): 201-217.

    Joshua Clinton, Simon Jackman and Douglas Rivers. 2004. The Statistical Analysis of Roll Call Data. American Political Science Review 98 (2, May): 355-370.

    Michael A. Bailey. 2007. Comparable Preference Estimates across Time and Institutions for the Court, Congress, and Presidency. American Journal of Political Science 51 (3, Jul.): 433-448.

    Jeffrey B. Lewis and Keith T. Poole. 2004. Measuring Bias and Uncertainty in Ideal Point Estimates via the Parametric Bootstrap. Political Analysis, 12: 105-127.

    Royce Carroll, Jeffrey B. Lewis, James Lo, Keith T. Poole, and Howard Rosenthal. 2009. Measuring Bias and Uncertainty in DW-NOMINATE Ideal Point Estimates via the Parametric Bootstrap. Political Analysis 17: 261-227.

  6. text data (February 13)

    Vito D'Orazio, Steven T. Landis, Glenn Palmer and Philip Schrodt. 2014. ``Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: Applications of Automated Document Classification Using Support Vector Machines.'' Political Analysis 22: 224-242. (in file

    Christopher Lucas, Richard A. Nielsen, Margaret E. Roberts, Brandon M. Stewart, Alex Storer and Dustin Tingley. 2015. ``Computer-Assisted Text Analysis for Comparative Politics.'' Political Analysis 23: 254-277. (in file

    Sean M. Gerrish and David M. Blei. 2011. Predicting legislative roll calls from text. International Conference on Machine Learning.

    David M. Blei and John D. Lafferty. 2007. A correlated topic model of Science. Annals of Applied Statistics 1 (1, Jun.): 17-35.

    David M. Blei, Andrew Y. Ng and Michael I. Jordan. 2003. Latent Dirichlet allocation. Journal of Machine Learning Research 3 (Jan.): 993-1022.

    David M. Blei, Jon D. McAuliffe. 2007. Supervised topic models. Neural Information Processing Systems 21.

  7. images plus (February 20)

  8. panel data and time series (March 6)

  9. process priors (March 13)

    Samuel J. Gershman and David M. Blei. 2011. A tutorial on Bayesian nonparametric models. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, forthcoming. (in file GershmanBlei2011.pdf)

    Brooks, S. P. 1998. Markov chain Monte Carlo method and its application. The Statistician 47: 69-100.

  10. strategic behavior (March 20)

    Rust, J. 1987. Optimal Replacement of GMC Bus Engines: An Empirical Model of Harold Zurcher. Econometrica 55: 999-1033.

    V. Joseph Hotz and Robert A. Miller. 1993. Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models The Review of Economic Studies 60 (3, Jul): 497-529.

    Hiroyuki Kasahara and Katsumi Shimotsu. 2009. Nonparametric Identification of Finite Mixture Models of Dynamic Discrete Choices. Econometrica 77 (1, Jan): 135-175.

    Victor Aguirregabiria and Pedro Mira. 2007. Sequential Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Games. Econometrica 75 (1, Jan.): 1-53.

    Hiroyuki Kasahara and Katsumi Shimotsu. 2008. Pseudo-likelihood estimation and bootstrap inference for structural discrete Markov decision models. Journal of Econometrics 146 (1): 92-106.

  11. distorted and missing data (March 27)

  12. presentations (Apr 3, 10, 17)

Walter Mebane 2018-01-13